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curve: MOF interest rates / 2026-08-20

Yield Curve

1.02.03.04.05Y10Y20Y30Y40Y2026-08-202026-08-191W 2026-08-131M 2026-07-171Y 2025-08-20

Curve at each fiscal year-end

0.01.02.03.04.05Y10Y20Y30Y40Y2026-08-20FY2025 2026-03-31FY2024 2025-03-31FY2023 2024-03-29FY2022 2023-03-31FY2021 2022-03-31FY2020 2021-03-31FY2019 2020-03-31FY2018 2019-03-29

The thick solid line is the latest date. The thin lines are the curve at each fiscal year-end (nearest business day on or before 31 March), darker for more recent years — the last 8 fiscal years.

Curve Spreads (bp) / Butterflies (bp)

bp
2s5s44.5
2s10s117.2
5s10s72.7
5s20s159.2
10s20s86.5
10s30s114.1
20s30s27.6
30s40s0.7
bp
2s5s10s-28.2
5s10s20s-13.8
10s20s30s+58.9
20s30s40s+26.9

Yields

Tenor2026-08-20(%)Prev day(%)Δ1D(bp)Δ1W(bp)Δ1M(bp)Δ1Y(bp)52wRSINSS resPC res
1Y1.4301.423+0.7+3.0+23.0+75.0 99%84-0.3+10.4history
2Y1.6821.681+0.1+3.1+24.6+82.4 99%80+0.9+5.2history
3Y1.8141.823-0.9-0.1+27.5+87.1 98%70-1.8+1.4history
4Y2.0002.017-1.7-0.5+22.9+94.2 98%64+2.5-2.2history
5Y2.1272.146-1.9-0.7+18.2+97.2 98%59+0.6-5.0history
6Y2.2692.297-2.8-2.2+17.6+104.2 98%57-0.2-4.7history
7Y2.4102.442-3.2-2.4+16.9+110.1 98%56-1.2-3.7history
8Y2.5762.608-3.2-2.3+15.2+117.1 98%56+0.4-1.8history
9Y2.7132.752-3.9-1.8+13.5+119.7 97%55-0.4-0.6history
10Y2.8542.894-4.0-1.9+13.9+123.7 97%55-0.2+2.1history
15Y3.4093.456-4.7-1.8+10.7+119.5 95%54-1.3+3.5history
20Y3.7193.773-5.4-2.2+8.9+109.5 96%52-6.1+1.8history
25Y4.0174.072-5.5-0.7+8.1+106.4 97%54+4.7+0.3history
30Y3.9954.054-5.9-0.7+10.1+90.0 96%53-4.1-0.9history
40Y4.0024.061-5.9-0.4+16.1+64.6 97%56+6.4-1.0history

Implied forwards from NSS zero curve

%Δ1M(bp)
1y1y1.917+31.3
2y1y2.160+20.9
5y5y3.732+8.5
10y10y5.232+7.0

factor analysis →

Curve regime (last 250 business days)

days%avg Δslope
Bull steep2610+1.04
Bear steep10442+2.10
Bull flat6827-2.32
Bear flat3916-1.11
Flat135-0.04

now: Bull flat(2d streak)・last 20d: bF bF BS BS BF BS BS BS BF bF bF BS BF BF BS bF bS bF BS BF